18 in the NFL, and have given up more than 190 rushing yards in a game twice. 1 pick, Dolphins move into top five, D is the new MVP: Ravens' D upstaging Jackson, From QB play to his contract, a look at what's ailing Eagles' Ertz, Eagles cleared to host limited fans at home games, "Biggest" Eagles fan sends well-wishes after Prescott's injury, Hurting Browns QB Mayfield still plans to face Steelers, Browns vs. Steelers: Behind the turnarounds, return of Garrett and what win means, Browns' Garrett playing at elite level going into Steelers rematch, Steelers coach Mike Tomlin focused on facing Browns, not Garrett, Steelers' Roethlisberger "proud" of Smith-Schuster's selflessness, Titans have been dominating in the red zone behind Tannehill, Unhappy LB Correa traded by Titans to Jaguars, Texans hire search firm to assist GM search, Falcons shut down facility after positive coronavirus test, Vikings' Mattison ready to step in for injured Cook, Teacher, coach, No. This is a bad matchup for the Bengals, who have allowed 250 rushing yards or more in two of the first five games this season. Inside the 'ax-cident' and a quirky piece of Jaguars history, Shad Khan thinks Ramsey will play against Saints, Saints getting money's worth from WR Thomas, no matter who's at QB, Wilson's torrid start has him playing at an MVP level, Browns 'have a lot of concerns,' starting with Mayfield, How to fix Bengals' struggling offense? The defensive tackle is coming off a four-sack performance and will continue to wreak havoc in the backfield against the 49ers, whom he has 11.5 career sacks against. FPI prediction: TB, 54.9% (by an average of 1.8 points), Matchup must-reads: Abandoned in London as a child, Efe Obada returns as NFL player ... Bucs to be minus two offensive-line starters ... Addison, Barrett an unlikely pair of sack leaders. The Bears have too much invested in Kmet for him to be a bystander, so look for Foles to target the rookie early and somewhat often on Sunday. • 2020 NFL draft order: Top 20 picks » It'll go under. Matchup rating: 85.3 | Spread: KC -4 (55), What to watch for: The Chiefs scored 13 points, by far their lowest total with Patrick Mahomes as their starting quarterback, last weekend in a loss to the Colts, while the Texans hung 53 on the Falcons. Matchup rating: 85.5 | Spread: KC -5 (57.5), What to watch for: Bills wide receiver Stefon Diggs is averaging a career-high 101.8 yards per game in 2020, good for second in the NFL. NFL experts predict: Week 6 upset picks, fantasy sleepers, disappointing players, more 1 Related Johnson: If the Dolphins scoring 43 in Santa Clara wasn't evidence enough of the 49ers' struggling and depleted defense, I don't know what is. -- Rich Cimini, Bold prediction: Ezekiel Elliott will have 20 or more carries after three consecutive games without reaching that number. What to know for fantasy: In his first season without DeAndre Hopkins, Watson is on pace to set new career highs in both passing touchdowns and passing yards. Chicago's second-round pick (No. -- Cameron Wolfe, Bold prediction: With Callahan stressing commitment to the running game, the Redskins will run the ball 40 times -- their highest total since the season opener in 2018. FPI prediction: ATL, 55.6% (by an average of 2.0 points), Matchup must-reads: Quinn stays on the defensive with playcalling duties ... Is Quinn really on the hot seat? See Week 6 rankings. Read more. As of now, the Jets have a league-high 43.6% chance to get the top pick in the 2021 NFL draft, according to FPI. ET | NBC What to know for fantasy: Cardinals running back Chase Edmonds has 6.8 more points this season than Kenyan Drake ... on 54 fewer touches. See Week 6 rankings. This week they lose small. Smith-Schuster is looking for redemption after fumbling away a chance to win last weekend's game against Baltimore in overtime. They come out as 1.3% more efficient than an average NFL team this season. More NFL coverage », Bold prediction: Mahomes and Deshaun Watson will combine for 750 passing yards. The Packers, meanwhile, have the eighth-best pass block win rate in the NFL (60%). See Week 6 rankings. Read more. FPI prediction: TEN, 50.8% (by an average of 0.3 points), Matchup must-reads: Cut 21 combined times, Broncos' Bausby, Rodgers still 'believe' ... How have the Titans' free-agent additions fared? Newton's pick: Panthers 27, Buccaneers 24 Betting nugget: Dak Prescott is 7-2-1 ATS in his career when favored by six or more points (10-0 outright). Laine's pick: Buccaneers 28, Panthers 24 -- Mike Triplett. Stat to know: Newton posted a Total QBR of 73 in the Patriots' first two games of the season. -- John Keim. Start in the red zone ... No longer 'Marvin'? Watch on ESPN+. -- Courtney Cronin, Bold prediction: Vikings receivers Adam Thielen and Stefon Diggs will be happier with the direction of the offense under QB Kirk Cousins after this one. Read more. Read more. The over/under for this one is set for 50.5. ... Panthers' Short to have season-ending shoulder surgery ... How COVID-19 put everything on the line for Panthers' Reed, 1 p.m. Matt Bowen from ESPN has picked 175 of 256 NFL games correctly. Betting nugget: San Francisco is 0-3 ATS and straight up at home this season. FPI prediction: IND, 67.6% (by an average of 6.3 points), Matchup must-reads: Inability to keep Burrow upright is problem Bengals must fix quickly ... Colts sticking with Rivers at QB despite turnover trouble ... Bengals lose Reader for season with quad injury ... Rivers' turnovers responsible for nine points in Colts' loss, 1 p.m. See Week 6 rankings. Stat to know: Colts quarterback Philip Rivers has thrown four passing touchdowns this season, the fewest through his team's first five games of a season in his career. But the Falcons will also be trying to avoid their worst six-game start since 2007 (1-5), the season before they drafted Ryan. What to know for fantasy: In a matchup of two of the worst teams in terms of offensive snaps with a lead this season, it's worth noting that Terry McLaurin has been targeted four times when Washington was leading and turned it into three catches for 104 yards and a touchdown. Matt Bowen has predicted the correct winner of NFL games 68% of the time. What to know for fantasy: Miami quarterback Ryan Fitzpatrick has scored at least 21 fantasy points in four straight games, the longest streak of his career. OK, when it's put that way, it might not sound bold, but the one time he didn't reach that total this season came against Tampa Bay, which held him to a season-low 53 yards from scrimmage. That stat line isn't too far from what Allen has done through five games this season: 69% passing, 1,589 yards, 14 touchdowns, three interceptions and an 85.2 Total QBR. FINAL ESPN . Mistakes overshadow career days for Cooper, Prescott ... Darnold's return intensifies spotlight on Gase, 8:20 p.m. ET | NFL Network FPI prediction: WSH, 63.2% (by an average of 4.7 points), Matchup must-reads: Redskins, Dolphins battle it out in Week 6 Winless Bowl ... Dolphins' ideal 2020 draft: Tua Tagovailoa leads bounty of first-rounders ... Redskins not changing stance on Haskins after Gruden's firing, 4:05 p.m. Read more. Barshop's pick: Chiefs 38, Texans 31 Yet through five weeks, he has the same number of fantasy points (105.5) as Brandin Cooks and Stefon Diggs combined. That team finished 1-15. FPI prediction: BAL, 73.5% (by an average of 8.6 points), Matchup must-reads: D is the new MVP: Ravens' D upstaging Jackson ... From QB play to his contract, a look at what's ailing Eagles' Ertz ... Eagles cleared to host limited fans at home games ... "Biggest" Eagles fan sends well-wishes after Prescott's injury, 1 p.m. What to know for fantasy: Tyler Boyd ranks fourth in the NFL with 53 targets and is playing for a Bengals team that is dropping back to pass at the third-highest rate (71%). -- Josh Weinfuss. The 49ers boast the top rushing offense in the NFL, averaging 200 yards per game. Weinfuss' pick: Cardinals 20, Falcons 17 In their Week 6 matchup, the Chiefs won via the ground game. In the past 10 seasons, the only quarterback to start his career 5-0 outright and ATS is Patrick Mahomes. Rookie quarterback Joe Burrow … Bears need major upgrades in key positions, Extensions, OBJ and defense: Burning questions facing the Browns' offseason, Deshaun Watson's no-trade clause puts Houston Texans in no-win situation, Buffalo Bills can justify trading Patrick Mahomes pick by reaching Super Bowl, What the Nick Sirianni hire means for Carson Wentz, Philadelphia Eagles, No more quick fixes: Colts must secure long-term successor to Philip Rivers, The biggest looming free-agent decisions for all 32 NFL teams: Who has a salary-cap crunch, What now for Drew Brees and the Saints? • Mahomes chief practitioner of free play In Week 6, he gets another NFC East rival that has been routinely challenged deep down the field by opponents. The rookie is tied for the NFL lead with seven total fumbles and four lost fumbles -- three of which happened last weekend -- and the majority have come when he's been sacked or scrambling to avoid a sack. Full ranking » | Pick order » | More », Bold prediction: The Packers' defense will finally make a stand. Stat to know: The Titans are the only team that has yet to see an offensive drive end in a turnover this season. Bye: BUF, CHI, IND, OAK, 1 p.m. • Mahomes chief practitioner of free play ET | CBS He's so quick and explosive, and he can get the ball out of his hand very quickly," Dallas coach Mike McCarthy said. 0 of 14. See Week 6 rankings. See Week 6 rankings. Buccaneers (2-3), London, NFL experts predict: Week 6 upset picks, fantasy football flops and sleepers, Matthew Berry's Love/Hate for Week 6: Why I'm done with Bruce Allen, NFL contenders gone wrong: Barnwell ranks the six top playoff fallers, Abandoned in London as a child, Efe Obada returns as NFL player, Bucs to be minus two offensive-line starters, Addison, Barrett an unlikely pair of sack leaders. • 30 big questions for Kiper & McShay » The Big Lead picks in Week 5 had some good and some bad results. Trotter's pick: Seahawks 28, Browns 17 Matchup rating: 37.4 | Spread: ARI -1.5 (55), What to watch for: Cardinals quarterback Kyler Murray is 6-0 all time at AT&T Stadium. If not, it could be another long day for the Browns. Our NFL Nation reporters bring us the keys to every game, a bold prediction for each matchup and final score predictions. What to know for fantasy: Robinson has at least 17 touches in every game this season, totaling at least 90 yards in four of those five games. This is the percentage of the general public betting on each side of a matchup or total. And according to ESPN pass-rush metrics powered by NFL Next Gen Stats, the Lions are last in the NFL in pass rush win rate, beating their blocks within 2.5 seconds just 29% of the time. Dickerson's pick: Panthers 17, Bears 16 Nick Foles outdueled Tom Brady on Thursday night, the Raiders beat … Rookie Fant trying to smooth out the 'rough spots'. CIN-IND | DET-JAX | WSH-NYG -- Michael Rothstein. Quarterback Nick Foles attempted 42 passes in Week 5, but Kmet finished the game with zero targets and played just 21 of 63 offensive snaps. Matchup rating: 80.7 | Spread: LAR -3.5 (50.5), What to watch for: The ground game will be crucial. One huge stat ... Mahomes says ankle injury won't limit his mobility vs. Texans ... Re-drafting the top 10 picks of the 2017 NFL draft: Where will Mahomes, Watson land? But he has been under 19 fantasy points in three of his past four games. And the Broncos' defense is tied for the second-fewest takeaways in the NFL this season (three, all in Week 5). 2 Betting nugget: Carolina is 3-0 both straight up and ATS in its past three games. See Week 6 rankings. -- Michael Rothstein. In our NFL picks against the spread for Week 6, Seattle wins a close game in Cleveland. ET | CBS • Pack want to help Rodgers get ring No. Read more. But Washington is second to last at 81.4 rushing yards per game. BAL-PHI | CLE-PIT | HOU-TEN Furthermore, Washington will record four sacks to break a three-game skid against the Giants. Betting nugget: Pats coach Bill Belichick is 23-11 ATS at home as a favorite over the past five seasons. Let's get into the full Week 6 schedule, including a showdown between two of the NFL's top quarterbacks. On the flip side, Burrow has been sacked more than any other QB in the NFL. They'll have to be disciplined and keep Watson from extending plays and finding his speedy receivers down the field. Recap. Breaking down the NFL Week 6 schedule, Hammer says the Rams (-3.5) will roll over the 49ers on Sunday Night Football. Betting nugget: Minnesota is 23-10-1 ATS at home over the past five seasons, the best mark in the NFL. Sure, it was against the Bengals, but a win is still a win. "Obviously he can make any throw, he can hit all the quadrants of the field, and he's leading the league in rushing as quarterbacks. Read more. FPI prediction: GB, 65.8% (by an average of 5.6 points), Matchup must-reads: How Packers' Matt LaFleur is doing what other first-year coaches haven't: win ... Against Packers, Lions can lean on Patricia's success against top offenses ... Packers' good vibrations: Rodgers likes 'the vibe on this team' ... Rewriting the Rodgers narrative, according to his backup center, 9:30 a.m. See Week 6 rankings. They rank 30th in the NFL in passing defense, allowing 280.8 yards per game. See Week 6 rankings. Cimini's pick: Cowboys 24, Jets 13 Baltimore running back Mark Ingram and quarterback Lamar Jackson each has more than 300 rushing yards this season. Matchup rating: 39.1 | Spread: DAL -7.5 (45), What to watch for: It's the No. • Bucs carry hopes of '02 team into Sunday That could spell trouble for a Rams defense that ranks 15th at stopping the run (107 yards per game). Hensley's pick: Ravens 33, Bengals 17 NFL execs, coaches weigh in on QB's future, Why Favre thinks this is the best Rodgers has ever played (1:54), Guide to every Week 6 NFL game: Picks, matchup nuggets, more, Guide to Buccaneers-Packers, Bills-Chiefs: Picks, bold predictions and more, Sources: Lions actively seek to trade Stafford, Source: Chiefs RB Edwards-Helaire likely to play, Sources: Ex-Chargers coach Lynn to be Lions OC, Fins QB coach hire Frye has familiarity with Tua, Williams eyes NFL first: 2 teams in 1 postseason, Texans interview QB McCown, Caldwell for HC job, Finally, Aaron Rodgers vs. Tom Brady: Inside playoff matchup 13 years in making, Why Chiefs' Patrick Mahomes is the premier practitioner of the free play, Matthew Stafford gave Detroit all he had -- on the field and off of it, How Ryan Jensen became the best - and meanest - center in the game, After 13-year playoff drought, Bucs carry hopes of their last NFC championship team, Getting No. It's been a rough start for Thomas, as he's ranked 61st out of 68 tackles in pass-block win rate (79.4%), an ESPN metric powered by NFL Next Gen Stats. Read more. He's 14-2 ATS in his career as an underdog (7-9 outright). Betting nugget: Underdogs with 4-0 or better records are 15-8-1 ATS since 2003, and 4-0 ATS since 2015. Legwold's pick: Patriots 24, Broncos 17 Laine's pick: Buccaneers 31, Packers 27 He returned last weekend and should be close to 100 percent and a handful for Thomas off the edge. 1-ranked defense, have struggled with this season has been getting to the quarterback; they're tied for 15th in the league in sacks (11). The Week 6 NFL schedule is stacked with great matchups. Stat to know: Kansas City quarterback Patrick Mahomes began his 2018 MVP season by completing 64% of his passes for 1,513 yards, 14 touchdowns, two interceptions and an 86.1 Total QBR through five games. ET | Fox Betting nugget: Green Bay is 4-0 ATS, making it the only undefeated team ATS left this season. Williams' pick: Chargers 24, Steelers 13 But it won't be enough, as Vikings running back Alexander Mattison does his best Dalvin Cook impersonation with more than 100 rushing yards and two scores of his own. ATL-MIN | CHI-CAR | DEN-NE No Eagles QB has led the NFL in picks over a full season since the 1970 merger. The Texans, who are 12th in the league in scoring defense allowing 22 points per game, offer a significant challenge. Stat to know: The Lions blitz 9.1% of the time, the lowest percentage by a team this season and the lowest since 2006 when that data became available. See Week 6 rankings. Bears need major upgrades in key positions, Extensions, OBJ and defense: Burning questions facing the Browns' offseason, Deshaun Watson's no-trade clause puts Houston Texans in no-win situation, Buffalo Bills can justify trading Patrick Mahomes pick by reaching Super Bowl, What the Nick Sirianni hire means for Carson Wentz, Philadelphia Eagles, No more quick fixes: Colts must secure long-term successor to Philip Rivers, The biggest looming free-agent decisions for all 32 NFL teams: Who has a salary-cap crunch, What now for Drew Brees and the Saints? (1:54). Stat to know: Matt Ryan has 300 passing yards in every game this season, and he could join Kurt Warner and Steve Young as only players with 300 in each of their teams' first six games in the Super Bowl era (Patrick Mahomes could also do so this weekend). What to know for fantasy: Carolina running back Mike Davis has a 15-yard rush, a 10-yard reception and at least five receptions in three straight games. Read more. 2: Packers want second Super Bowl for Aaron Rodgers, Marv Levy, Cornelius Bennett, former Bills eager to see Buffalo 'finally' win title, Who stays and who goes? His picks are below. What to know for fantasy: Kyler Murray had just 17 total rushing yards in his first two career games, but he's racked up at least 27 in each of the three games since, and his 16-game pace over those three games is that of a 1,000-yard rusher. Stat to know: Wentz has gone four consecutive games with a completion percentage south of 60%, the longest active streak in the NFL and the longest by an Eagles starting quarterback since Mike McMahon went seven straight starts in 2005. Demovsky's pick: Packers 28, Lions 27 Stat to know: Atlanta wide receiver Calvin Ridley has an NFL-high four 100-yard receiving games this season. 2 Stat to know: The 0.0 FPI matchup quality -- on a 0-100 scale -- is the worst of any game measured since it was first tracked in 2008. Stat to know: According to NFL Next Gen Stats data, Seahawks receivers are producing 3.8 yards of average separation when targeted this season, best in the NFL. You can bet with or against the public. -- Jeff Legwold. ET | NBC NFL Expert Picks - Conference Championship Week 1 Week 2 Week 3 Week 4 Week 5 Week 6 Week 7 Week 8 Week 9 Week 10 Week 11 Week 12 Week 13 Week 14 Week 15 Week 16 Week 17 Wild Card Divisional Round Conference Championship hidden He is the first quarterback with a streak like that since Aaron Rodgers in 2016. Rookie Fant trying to smooth out the 'rough spots', 4:25 p.m. The Rams are tied for the NFL lead with 20 sacks, and the Niners have allowed 18, fourth most in the league. Let's get into the full Week 6 slate, including a showdown between Tom Brady and Aaron Rodgers. -- Lindsey Thiry, Bold prediction: Kyle Shanahan and Sean McVay are known for their offensive acumen, and these teams average a combined 61 points per game. See Week 6 rankings. Pryor's pick: Chargers 24, Steelers 21 1 receiver: Vikings' Thielen relishing new roles, McCaffrey doesn't have to rush back for Panthers, Panthers' Short to have season-ending shoulder surgery, How COVID-19 put everything on the line for Panthers' Reed, "A student of everything": What a 26-year-old Bill Belichick learned as a Broncos assistant, Broncos coach Fangio forced to take more risks on defense, Inability to keep Burrow upright is problem Bengals must fix quickly, Colts sticking with Rivers at QB despite turnover trouble, Bengals lose Reader for season with quad injury, Rivers' turnovers responsible for nine points in Colts' loss, Jaguars to use fifth kicker of season in Brown, Jaguars among NFL teams using silver to fight COVID-19, Resetting Washington's QB situation: What's next for Allen, Smith and Haskins, Giants' Jones continues to be haunted by last-minute failures, Smith favored to win comeback player award, Giants lose LB Carter for season with ruptured Achilles, How Bell ouster affects Jets' locker room and future cap, Dolphins' Howard, Jones show potential to be top CB duo, Jets to again start Flacco at QB; Gase to still call plays, Source: Dolphins' Godchaux has biceps tear, Bell's ugly ending with Jets raises serious questions, One night in Atlanta 10 years ago, Rodgers became a star, Brady pokes fun at himself while congratulating LeBron, Brady's fourth-down gaffe joins list of other interesting errors with time and turnovers, Rams' Sean McVay remains a football junkie even as he attempts to step back, How Kyle Shanahan has kept the 49ers from falling apart, Rams have a sack party in Washington as they prepare for NFC West, 49ers CB Sherman suffers setback in recovery from calf injury, 49ers QB Garoppolo practices, on track to start, At last, Rodgers vs. Brady in the playoffs, Missing starters evident in Bills' humbling loss on national stage, Source: Hamstring injury could sideline Chiefs WR Watkins a couple of games, Biggest surprises for every AFC team thus far in the 2020 season, Cardinals LB Jones to have season-ending surgery, Even without Prescott, Cowboys say plan stays the same on offense, Hopkins credits Murray, Cardinals' playcalling for hot start, Could Dak still get $100 million? Source: Hamstring injury could sideline Chiefs WR Watkins a couple of games ... Biggest surprises for every AFC team thus far in the 2020 season, Monday, 8:15 p.m. Clowney didn't get to face the Texans after they traded him to the Seahawks just before the 2019 season. Who will try to rattle Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers now? -- Mike Triplett. What to know for fantasy: The Rams' Cooper Kupp is seeking to become the first player in NFL history with four consecutive games of at least nine catches and a receiving score. 43 overall) out of Notre Dame, Kmet has just one reception for 12 yards though five games. It's all here to help get you ready for a loaded weekend of NFL football. FPI prediction: WSH, 52.7% (by an average of 1 point), Matchup must-reads: Resetting Washington's QB situation: What's next for Allen, Smith and Haskins ... Giants' Jones continues to be haunted by last-minute failures ... Smith favored to win comeback player award ... Giants lose LB Carter for season with ruptured Achilles, 4:05 p.m. Christian McCaffrey did not have such a streak last season. FPI prediction: CAR, 54.3% (by an average of 1.5 points), Matchup must-reads: Bears stun Brady ... McCaffrey doesn't have to rush back for Panthers ... Can Foles shed relief pitcher rep? Read more. So I think that in itself tells you the stress that he puts on your defense. Something has to give! What to know for fantasy: When he gets at least 15 touches, Broncos running back Phillip Lindsay has averaged 15.6 fantasy points per game over his career. Matchup rating: 40.9 | Spread: BAL -12 (47.5), What to watch for: Baltimore averages 36 runs per game, a monumental challenge for Cincinnati, which has given up the second-most rushing yards this season (167.6 per game). What to know for fantasy: Wilson leads the league in touchdown pass percentage (7.7%) and is in search of his third straight season finishing as a top-three player in that metric. Matchup rating: 74.6 | Spread: MIN -3 (44), What to watch for: The Eagles are coming off a 10-sack performance, while the Vikings harassed Giants quarterback Daniel Jones last weekend with aggressive blitzes. Plus, Los Angeles gets the best of San Francisco, and slipping Kansas City and Dallas get back on track. FPI prediction: NO, 57.8% (by an average of 2.7 points), Matchup must-reads: Florida Man 2.0: Behind Minshew's mustache lie 'genius tendencies' ... Can Saints add Fournette to their under-100 club? Davenport's pick: Broncos 24, Titans 21 DiRocco's pick: Jaguars 24, Saints 21 ET | CBS Against this line, Washington's pass rush will get healthy. That's the best win percentage (minimum 10 starts) and most team points per game for a Titans/Oilers QB since the 1970 merger. And the Buccaneers pass on just 60.2% of plays, the 20th-highest rate in the league. He went 5-0 while at Allen High School, including three state championships, and 1-0 with Oklahoma, winning the Big 12 championship. Jacksonville offensive coordinator Jay Gruden admitted he has abandoned the run way too soon in each of the Jaguars' past two games, so expect him to commit to Robinson pretty heavily against the Lions. In their past three games vs. a Gregg Williams-led defense, the Cowboys have averaged 137 yards on the ground and had six rushing touchdowns. Matchup rating: 51.2 | Spread: SEA -1.5 (46), What to watch for: Russell Wilson has been fabulous this season, with 14 total touchdowns and no interceptions. Will combine for 160 yards and a handful for Thomas off the.! Nfl picks against the public game, a Bold prediction for each matchup and final score picks ATS is Mahomes! Past two seasons, the seventh most among all teams is heavily tilted toward the Colts the team covered the. For Week 6 schedule, Hammer says the Rams, after last Week 's loss. 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